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A Repeat Of The Great Recession? | Michael Pento
Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

A Repeat Of The Great Recession? | Michael Pento

Money manager Michael Pento warns that a 'triumvirate of bubbles' in stocks, credit, and real estate combined with the Iran war oil shock has pushed recession odds above 50%, prompting a defensive shift in his proprietary model to protect against impending demand destruction.

3 months ago · 9 points
Not Once in 75 Years | The Weekly Wrap – 4/5/2026
1:06:37
Excess Returns Excess Returns

Not Once in 75 Years | The Weekly Wrap – 4/5/2026

Michael Mauboussin presents data showing OpenAI's projected 108% CAGR has no precedent in 75 years of market history, while Harris Kupperman explains why extending investment time horizons to 2-3 years creates a sustainable edge over short-term focused markets.

3 months ago · 7 points
Valuing Constellation Software's Spinoffs: Finding the Next 10-Bagger
1:20:36
We Study Billionaires (TIP) We Study Billionaires (TIP)

Valuing Constellation Software's Spinoffs: Finding the Next 10-Bagger

This episode analyzes Constellation Software's smaller spinoffs and copycats—including Topicus, Lumine Group, Signity, and Aiko Poland—as potential 'next 10-baggers' that replicate the vertical market software (VMS) acquisition playbook without facing the law of large numbers constraining their parent company.

3 months ago · 8 points
How Hims & Hers Reached a $4.3BN Market Cap on $2.3BN of Revenue | Andrew Dudum
1:03:41
20VC with Harry Stebbings 20VC with Harry Stebbings

How Hims & Hers Reached a $4.3BN Market Cap on $2.3BN of Revenue | Andrew Dudum

Hims & Hers CEO Andrew Dudum defends going public after just 36 months, explaining how quarterly accountability drives performance, why he hires for grit over credentials, and how the $4.3B company operates as a venture incubator managing diverse healthcare bets rather than a single-category weight-loss business.

3 months ago · 9 points
What’s Actually Happening To Bitcoin & The Economy Right Now
45:08
The Pomp Podcast The Pomp Podcast

What’s Actually Happening To Bitcoin & The Economy Right Now

Jordy Visser argues that despite investor confusion over mixed economic signals, the market is correctly pricing a structural shift driven by AI disruption and persistently higher oil prices. With the Fed unable to fight inflation aggressively due to a weak labor market and housing sector, investors should focus on long scarcity trades like Bitcoin and hardware while avoiding software and abundance plays.

3 months ago · 10 points
Oil Price Shock To Cause A Recession This Year? | Lance Roberts
Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money

Oil Price Shock To Cause A Recession This Year? | Lance Roberts

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that while markets have begun repricing valuations for oil shock risks, a sustained 3-5 month period of elevated prices would likely trigger recessionary conditions and significant downward earnings revisions, particularly impacting internationally exposed assets more than the energy-independent US economy.

3 months ago · 9 points
SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity
1:20:32
All-In Podcast All-In Podcast

SpaceX IPO, Iran War Fallout, Quantum Bitcoin Hack, The Space Opportunity

SpaceX has confidentially filed for a $1.75 trillion IPO that includes its recent $250 billion acquisition of X.AI, with Chamath Palihapitiya predicting a 99.999% probability of merging with Tesla to create a $3.1 trillion conglomerate; David Friedberg outlines how this infrastructure enables lunar industrialization using robotics and mass drivers to manufacture goods and ship them back to Earth at near-zero cost.

3 months ago · 10 points