This Stock will be my Next Palantir‼️
TL;DR
The speaker delivers a comparative analysis of Big Tech earnings, grading Meta a concerning "B" due to exploding capex and declining user metrics while awarding Amazon an "A" for accelerating AWS growth and strong operating leverage, warning Meta's stock could face significant downside before improving.
📊 Market Snapshot & Portfolio Performance 2 insights
AMD continues momentum rally
AMD shares climbed over 4%, adding $35,000 to the public account and demonstrating persistent strength in the semiconductor name.
Growth stocks face severe selling pressure
SoFi, Robinhood, Coinbase, and Hims all plunged between 5-15% during the session, reflecting broad weakness in fintech and crypto-exposed sectors.
⚠️ Meta's Alarming Cost Escalation 3 insights
B-grade income statement signals trouble
Despite 33% revenue growth, operating income only rose 30% while R&D spending surged 46% and total expenses grew faster than sales at 35%.
Daily active users unexpectedly decline
DAUs dropped 5% quarter-over-quarter to 3.56 billion, missing Wall Street expectations of 3.62 billion and marking a rare negative trend for the platform.
Capex guidance explodes to $145 billion
Management raised 2025 capital expenditure guidance to a staggering $125-145 billion range, suggesting the spending problem will get "way worse before it gets better" and could potentially drive the stock down to $350.
✅ Amazon's Operational Excellence 3 insights
A-grade execution with expanding margins
Revenue grew 17% while operating income surged 30%, demonstrating clear operating leverage as G&A expenses actually declined 2% year-over-year.
AWS growth accelerates dramatically
AWS revenue jumped 28% to $37.59 billion, marking its fastest growth in over three years and potentially heading toward 30%+ growth rates that justify heavy infrastructure spending.
Advertising business emerges as profit engine
Ad revenue grew 24% to $17.24 billion, becoming the company's fastest-growing and most profitable segment outside of cloud while beating expectations of 21.2% growth.
Bottom Line
Amazon represents the safer near-term investment with accelerating AWS growth and margin expansion, while Meta requires extreme patience as unsustainable capex spending and declining user metrics may drive the stock significantly lower before Zuckerberg eventually rights the ship.
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This stock could go to $1,000‼️
AMD stock surged past $300 to new all-time highs, breaking through the $290 average analyst price target that previously acted as resistance. The speaker argues this breakthrough triggers a cascade of forced analyst upgrades that will fuel further momentum, potentially driving the stock to $400-$500+, and advises investors to treat the position like a 'freight train' rather than taking profits too early.
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Once in a generation move just started‼️
The stock market has mounted a violent 11-day rally with the Nasdaq surging 15.5%, while AMD approaches all-time highs around $260, potentially setting up for a move to $300-$400+ as analyst price targets chase the momentum. The speaker warns against market timing, noting that missing just the 10 best trading days over 30 years can cut returns by half, while presenting a bull case for AMD reaching $600-$1,200 based on 35-40% revenue growth scenarios.