Stocks Could Go ‘Absolutely Ludicrous’ Before The Next Correction | Chris Vermeulen

Tech exodus fuels broad market rally

Money is rotating out of NASDAQ tech stocks (down 2.5% intraday) into Dow components, small caps, utilities, and real estate, allowing the S&P 500 to hit new highs despite weakness in chip stocks like Broadcom.

Momentum trade vulnerability

Tech's reliance on momentum traders creates fragility where one piece of bad news could trigger rapid, sharp declines as algorithms and traders 'abandon ship' immediately at the first sign of rollover.

Volatility-adjusted trailing stops

Vermeulen uses dynamic stops based on average true range—approximately 5% for S&P 500 trading and 20% for long-term holdings—to protect capital without exiting during normal pullbacks.

Systematic profit-taking strategy

Rather than predicting tops, he scales out of positions as the NASDAQ and S&P hit statistical resistance targets, accepting underperformance during parabolic moves to avoid catastrophic drawdowns.

Asset revesting for downturns

When technical signals flip negative, capital rotates into inverse ETFs or rising currencies like the U.S. dollar to generate returns during corrections while traditional portfolios decline.

Dollar index as market tell

A break above 101 on the U.S. Dollar Index (currently basing near 100) would signal imminent weakness in both equities and precious metals, potentially triggering a 5-8% move higher in dollar ETFs like UUP.

Sentiment color-coding system

Proprietary momentum charts turning from green to orange/red indicate institutional distribution selling and waning money flow, providing exit signals before technical breakdowns accelerate into sustained corrections.

Panic selling pattern recognition

Intraday panic selling followed by immediate bargain hunting—such as the gap-down open that reversed higher—indicates an overbought market vulnerable to sudden sentiment shifts.