The Recession Signal Hidden in Walmart | The Weekly Wrap - 4/12/2026
Portfolio manager Jim Paulson's 'Walmart indicator' has surged to 2008 crisis levels, signaling stress among lower-income consumers and potential private credit tightening, while volatility strategist Brent Kochuba notes the oil-VIX correlation driving recent market fear has begun to decouple as geopolitical uncertainty evolves.