DISASTER CPI DATA: BITCOIN CRASH.......?
TL;DR
Despite better-than-expected CPI data of 2.4% (vs 2.5% expected), the Fed has a 92.3% chance of not cutting rates, keeping Bitcoin range-bound near $67,700 while traditional markets lost $1 trillion in value yesterday.
📈 Bitcoin Technical Analysis 3 insights
Critical breakout level at $67,700
Bitcoin needs sustained closes above this trend line to target $72,000, with a potential 20% jump to $84,000 if that resistance breaks.
CME gap target at $83,700
An inverse head and shoulders pattern aligns with this gap level, providing a clear technical roadmap for the next major move.
Bear market continues until 2026
Based on cycle analysis, Bitcoin likely dumps until September-October 2026 before the next major bull run begins.
🏛️ Inflation Data Impact 3 insights
CPI drops to 2.4% vs 2.5% expected
Better-than-expected inflation reading but still above the Fed's 2% target, keeping restrictive monetary policy intact.
92.3% chance Fed holds rates steady
Despite cooling inflation and America's need to refinance $9.5 trillion in debt, the Fed will likely maintain current rates of 3.5-3.75%.
No altcoin season until 2027-2028
Restrictive monetary policy means continued low liquidity, making any sustained altcoin rally impossible in the near term.
💸 Traditional Markets Crash 3 insights
$1 trillion wiped from US stock markets
Apple fell 7.5% in one of its worst days ever, while the S&P 500 forms a dangerous triple top pattern.
Coinbase reports $667 million losses
The crypto exchange's stock continues falling despite user outages during low-activity periods, raising operational concerns.
Silver crashes 12% in one day
The precious metal's volatility undermines critics who claim Bitcoin is too volatile to be a store of value.
Bottom Line
With the Fed maintaining restrictive policy despite cooling inflation, Bitcoin remains range-bound with no meaningful liquidity injection expected until 2026-2027, making DCA strategies more prudent than FOMO buying.
More from Bankless
View all![STOCKS ARE COLLAPSING.... [BITCOIN WARNING]](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/qucASV7o4j0/hqdefault_live.jpg)
STOCKS ARE COLLAPSING.... [BITCOIN WARNING]
Bitcoin faces severe downside risk toward $60k or lower by Q4 2025 as bear flag patterns mirror 2014 and 2021-2022 cycles, while stocks crash and regulatory clarity finally emerges for altcoins.
Best Trade Setup on Bitcoin Today🚨
Bitcoin is testing a decisive breakout above $71.6K, but traders should avoid longing the breakout and instead prepare to enter longs only if price drops below $70K and reclaims the level, while holding existing positions from lower entries like $66K.
Will this Bitcoin Pump Continue !!??🚨
Ahmed analyzes Bitcoin's recent pump from $65K to $73K, advocating for a non-predictive trading approach that focuses on high-probability setups at key technical levels rather than directional guesses, specifically highlighting the importance of longing dips at $70K support rather than chasing breakouts above $71.6K.
EVERYONE IS WRONG ABOUT BITCOIN. (You NEED To See This)
Analyst CryptoKitt argues that Bitcoin's immediate fate hinges on crude oil's dramatic collapse and the critical $72,000 resistance level, with a confirmed breakout opening a path to $84,000-$86,000 while failure risks a decline to $62,000.